ripple

The casebook

Ten real headlines. What Ripple said. What the market did.

We froze Ripple's map on 2026-01-21, then fed it ten big headlines from the months after. For each one it named five stocks and a direction. Below is every call, checked against the S&P 500 twenty trading days later. Nothing here was picked after the fact.

SCORECARD50 CALLS
Right after 20 days35 of 50 (70%)
Random stocks, same daysabout 49%
Headlines that came out ahead8 of 10
Average edge per call+4.3%
Right after only 5 days50%

How to read this honestly

  • “Right” means the stock beat the S&P 500 in the direction Ripple called. A call that a stock falls is right if it lagged the index.
  • Ten headlines is a small sample. Treat this as a sanity check that the map points the right way, not as proof of an edge.
  • After five days it's a coin flip. The map is about knock-on effects, and those take weeks to show up in prices.
  • Ripple describes exposure. It is not investment advice, and none of this was traded.
  1. 2026-01-29

    Copper hits all-time high on LME (three-month ~$14,527/t intraday), biggest one-day rise since 2008

    Ripple read it as Copper rising. Read the original story

    4/5
    right, +4.1% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    GLEN.L▲ up+5.1%-1.2%Right by 6.3%
    FCX▲ up+4.5%-1.2%Right by 5.7%
    SCCO▲ up+6.3%-1.2%Right by 7.5%
    COPPER▲ up-2.8%-1.2%Wrong by 1.6%
    COPX▲ up+1.6%-1.2%Right by 2.7%
  2. 2026-02-20

    US Supreme Court rules 6-3 that IEEPA does not authorize tariffs

    Ripple read it as Trade Restrictions falling. Read the original story

    2/5
    right, -1.2% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    TER▼ down-10.5%-5.7%Right by 4.8%
    KLAC▼ down+0.2%-5.7%Wrong by 5.8%
    LRCX▼ down-6.6%-5.7%Right by 1.0%
    LHX▼ down-0.6%-5.7%Wrong by 5.1%
    AMAT▼ down-4.9%-5.7%Wrong by 0.8%
  3. 2026-03-02

    US and Israel launch strikes on Iran (Sat 2026-02-28); first trading session is Mon 03-02

    Ripple read it as Oil and Gas rising. Read the original story

    5/5
    right, +19.5% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    XOM▲ up+11.2%-7.7%Right by 18.9%
    BP▲ up+20.0%-7.7%Right by 27.6%
    EQT▲ up+4.5%-7.7%Right by 12.2%
    CNQ▲ up+12.3%-7.7%Right by 20.0%
    CVX▲ up+11.1%-7.7%Right by 18.8%
  4. 2026-04-08

    Trump announces two-week US-Iran ceasefire conditional on reopening Strait of Hormuz (announced evening 04-07 US time)

    Ripple read it as Oil and Gas falling. Read the original story

    5/5
    right, +12.1% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    XOM▼ down-4.8%+8.6%Right by 13.4%
    BP▼ down-2.7%+8.6%Right by 11.3%
    EQT▼ down-4.4%+8.6%Right by 13.0%
    CNQ▼ down-1.7%+8.6%Right by 10.3%
    CVX▼ down-4.0%+8.6%Right by 12.6%
  5. 2026-04-30

    Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta report Q1 after close 04-29 and raise 2026 AI capex guidance

    Ripple read it as AI Compute Demand rising. Read the original story

    4/5
    right, +6.0% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    TER▲ up+9.0%+5.3%Right by 3.8%
    KLAC▲ up+9.9%+5.3%Right by 4.7%
    LRCX▲ up+23.4%+5.3%Right by 18.1%
    GLEN.L▲ up+0.0%+5.3%Wrong by 5.3%
    FCX▲ up+13.7%+5.3%Right by 8.5%
  6. 2026-05-21

    Nvidia Q1 FY27 results (after close 05-20) - record $75.2B data center revenue, +92% y/y

    Ripple read it as AI Compute Demand rising. Read the original story

    4/5
    right, +23.4% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    TER▲ up+29.3%+0.5%Right by 28.8%
    KLAC▲ up+46.1%+0.5%Right by 45.6%
    LRCX▲ up+35.6%+0.5%Right by 35.1%
    GLEN.L▲ up-2.6%+0.5%Wrong by 3.1%
    FCX▲ up+11.1%+0.5%Right by 10.6%
  7. 2026-06-15

    US-Iran initial deal to end war and reopen Strait of Hormuz announced Sun 06-14

    Ripple read it as Oil and Gas falling. Read the original story

    3/5
    right, +0.7% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    XOM▼ down+2.5%+0.3%Wrong by 2.3%
    BP▼ down-0.6%+0.3%Right by 0.9%
    EQT▼ down-3.0%+0.3%Right by 3.2%
    CNQ▼ down-1.9%+0.3%Right by 2.1%
    CVX▼ down+0.7%+0.3%Wrong by 0.4%
  8. 2026-06-24

    White House sends $87.6B Iran-war supplemental to Congress incl. $67.1B for defense

    Ripple read it as Defense Spending rising. Read the original story

    4/5
    right, +7.5% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    NOC▲ up+6.1%+0.7%Right by 5.4%
    GD▲ up+11.4%+0.7%Right by 10.7%
    BA▲ up-5.0%+0.7%Wrong by 5.7%
    RTX▲ up+13.0%+0.7%Right by 12.3%
    LMT▲ up+15.7%+0.7%Right by 15.0%
  9. 2026-06-25

    Micron reports after close 06-24, revenue +346% y/y on AI-driven memory shortage; outlook strong

    Ripple read it as Memory Chips rising. Read the original story

    0/5
    right, -32.7% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    Samsung▲ up-30.3%+0.6%Wrong by 31.0%
    SK Hynix▲ up-39.7%+0.6%Wrong by 40.3%
    MU▲ up-24.1%+0.6%Wrong by 24.7%
    GFS▲ up-37.8%+0.6%Wrong by 38.5%
    UMC▲ up-28.5%+0.6%Wrong by 29.1%
  10. 2026-08-06

    DR Congo bans exports of copper and cobalt concentrates (order dated 06-29 reported by Reuters 08-06)

    Ripple read it as Copper rising. Read the original story

    4/5
    right, +4.0% avg
    StockCalledStock, 20 daysS&P, 20 daysResult
    GLEN.L▲ up+7.0%+0.6%Right by 6.4%
    FCX▲ up+6.4%+0.6%Right by 5.8%
    SCCO▲ up+5.2%+0.6%Right by 4.6%
    COPPER▲ up-1.6%+0.6%Wrong by 2.2%
    COPX▲ up+6.0%+0.6%Right by 5.4%

Want to see it on today's news? The live tape grades every new call the same way, in public.